統(tong)計局9日(ri)發(fa)布了(le)2019年10月份全國CPI(居(ju)民消(xiao)費價格指(zhi)數)和PPI(工業生產者出廠價格指(zhi)數)數據(ju)。對此(ci),統(tong)計局城市司統(tong)計師(shi)沈赟進行(xing)了(le)解(jie)讀。
統計局(ju)(ju)9日(ri)發(fa)布了2019年10月份全國CPI(居民消費價格(ge)指數(shu))和(he)PPI(工業(ye)生產(chan)者(zhe)出(chu)廠價格(ge)指數(shu))數(shu)據。對此,統計局(ju)(ju)城市司(si)統計師沈赟進行(xing)了解讀(du)。
一、CPI環比漲(zhang)幅與上月相(xiang)同,同比漲(zhang)幅擴大(da)
從環比(bi)(bi)看,CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.9%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)與上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)相同。其中,食品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)3.6%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)比(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)擴大0.1個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian),影(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.78個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian);非食品(pin)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.2%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)與上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)相同,影(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.12個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。食品(pin)中,鮮(xian)果和(he)(he)鮮(xian)菜供應充足,價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)分(fen)(fen)別(bie)下降5.7%和(he)(he)1.7%,兩項合計影(ying)響(xiang)CPI下降約0.14個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。雞蛋價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)由漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)轉降,下降1.5%,影(ying)響(xiang)CPI下降約0.01個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。豬肉價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)20.1%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)比(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)擴大0.4個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian),影(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.79個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian),占CPI環比(bi)(bi)總漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)的近九成。受豬肉價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)拉動與消(xiao)費替(ti)代需求影(ying)響(xiang),牛肉、羊肉、雞肉和(he)(he)鴨(ya)肉價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)均有所上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang),漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)在1.0%—3.1%之間,四項合計影(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.06個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。非食品(pin)中,受換(huan)季影(ying)響(xiang),服裝(zhuang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.4%,影(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.02個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。國慶節(jie)期(qi)間出行(xing)增(zeng)加(jia),賓館住(zhu)宿(su)、旅(lv)行(xing)社收費和(he)(he)飛機票價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)分(fen)(fen)別(bie)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.1%、0.7%和(he)(he)0.5%,三項合計影(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約0.01個(ge)百分(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。
從同比看,CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)3.8%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)比上(shang)(shang)月擴大(da)0.8個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。其中(zhong),食(shi)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)15.5%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)擴大(da)4.3個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian),影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)3.05個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian);非食(shi)品價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)0.9%,漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)回落0.1個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian),影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)0.70個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。食(shi)品中(zhong),鮮(xian)(xian)菜價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)下降(jiang)(jiang)10.2%,鮮(xian)(xian)果價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)由漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)轉降(jiang)(jiang),下降(jiang)(jiang)0.3%,兩(liang)項(xiang)合(he)(he)計(ji)(ji)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI下降(jiang)(jiang)約(yue)0.28個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。豬肉(rou)(rou)價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)101.3%,影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)2.43個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian),占CPI同比總(zong)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)的近三分(fen)(fen)(fen)之二。牛肉(rou)(rou)、羊肉(rou)(rou)、雞肉(rou)(rou)、鴨肉(rou)(rou)和雞蛋價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)幅(fu)在12.3%—21.4%之間,五項(xiang)合(he)(he)計(ji)(ji)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)0.41個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。非食(shi)品中(zhong),醫療保(bao)健、教(jiao)育文化(hua)和娛樂、衣著價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)分(fen)(fen)(fen)別上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)2.1%、1.9%和1.2%,三項(xiang)合(he)(he)計(ji)(ji)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)(zhang)約(yue)0.49個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。交(jiao)通和通信價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)下降(jiang)(jiang)3.5%,影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI下降(jiang)(jiang)約(yue)0.42個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian);其中(zhong),汽(qi)油和柴油價(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)分(fen)(fen)(fen)別下降(jiang)(jiang)15.4%和16.2%,兩(liang)項(xiang)合(he)(he)計(ji)(ji)影(ying)(ying)響(xiang)CPI下降(jiang)(jiang)約(yue)0.36個(ge)(ge)百(bai)(bai)(bai)(bai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)點(dian)(dian)(dian)。
扣除(chu)(chu)食品和(he)能源(yuan)價(jia)格的(de)核心CPI環(huan)比上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)0.1%,漲(zhang)幅比上(shang)(shang)月回落(luo)0.1個百分點;同比上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.5%,漲(zhang)幅與(yu)上(shang)(shang)月相(xiang)同。如扣除(chu)(chu)豬肉價(jia)格上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)因(yin)素,CPI環(huan)比上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)約(yue)0.1%,同比上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)約(yue)1.3%,總體穩定。